@Lao:
Great analysis! But don't forget, that there are still two more contestants in the coliseum, and those are Diamante and Bartolomeo. A lot of people are underestimating Barto thinking of Rebecca/Sabo/Burgess as the only ones who will get the fruit. We haven't seen what Bartolomeo is capable of, not did we see the best of Diamante. Of course the same goes for Sabo and Burgess, can't say much about Rebecca. But what if something happens and Bartolomeo gets the fruit? I guess it's early to assume who will get the fruit.
Rebecca can get it because she is a pitiful girl, who wants to beat the crap out of the bad birdy who crapped on her grandfather and herself as a result.
Whilst Sabo can get the fruit for the sake of keeping Ace's will in good hands.
And Burgess can get it, just as you said, for the sake of plot.
Bartolomeo though, can get as a plot twist. He wants to give it to Luffy, and Luffy would most likely not keep it on the ship, and transactions will be made, and there's a possibility that Luffy will give it to Sabo/Rebecca OR some new character.
Diamante can win for the sake of dramatizing things and actually showing that Donquixote family is something else. Though I really doubt that one.
I excluded him and Diamante because I was only comparing points between the four I previously mentioned. Due to the recent posts of people thinking Sanji and Becca will get it.
About Barto getting it and giving it Luffy. I think we can safely assume he and Sabo are on the same side here. I can honestly see him as a major supporter for the duration of this arc. Barto fighting alongside Sabo just to win it so he give it to Luffy only to have Luffy give it right back to either Sabo/Becca seems a little redundant. But I won't rule it out.
There very well could be an interference during the final match. I could see Sabo getting put into a position where he can no longer contest for it. Giving a nice opening for a Barto show or Burgess' to get it. By those standards I can see Sabo losing. I only have a problem if he loses it fair and square.
Diamante winning would certainly show how strong he can be. But, at this point I can only see his defeat in this arc. Imo all of Doflamingo's officers will be defeated before his longly anticipated beating.
@Spam286:
Burgess isn't necessarily more important than Sabo as a character, but this is about the fate of the mera mera no mi. Burgess will be very relevant to the final conflict, we can be almost completely sure of that. Sabo's future contribution is more questionable since we don't yet know how the Strawhats are going to get involved with the revolutionaries. He'll play a part for sure, but since that part won't involve anything Ace was striving for the role of the mera mera no mi in that will just be as bonus power. There'd be no additional meaning to him having it. For Luffy, having to fight somebody with his brother's fruit would carry a hell of a lot of meaning, so in terms of what will be the most dramatic outcome, Burgess wins hands-down IMO.
In both cases though, the mera mera no mi will disappear for a long time after the arc is done since neither has a chance of joining the Strawhats. If Oda wants to keep the mera mera in any kind of central role, Rebecca would have to eat it and join. There's also a lot more immediate emotional value in Rebecca eating it since she plays a vital role in this arc and she's fixed on it as a way to save Soldier-san. Any emotional pay-off of the other two eating it is way off in the future, meaning that a tournament that has been a large part of this arc's structure will ultimately provide nothing to the climax of the arc itself, and that wouldn't make a whole lot of sense to me.
Boiled down, it means Burgess wins for future tension, Rebecca wins for in-arc tension, and Sabo wins for… I don't know. Character development? No. He was reintroduced six chapters ago. I don't think it would serve his character to literally transplant a major characteristic of another character directly to him when we haven't even seen his face yet. Basically the only outcome of Sabo getting it from a narrative perspective is audience wish fulfilment and that's a bad reason to make story decisions.
Hm good points. I'll wholeheartedly agree Burgess' does have the best shot in terms of plot and future relevance.
But, I only made Sabo's case that strong because I just can't see him losing in a honest to god match. Like I said just mentioned above to Lao, if Sabo loses I can only see that as a result of the dwarves causing some type of interference. Putting Sabo in some irreversible situation that would leave the other four contestants to compete for it. Sabo excluded Burgess would win by a landslide. He out of those four has the best shot in terms of his strength, as well as the plot.
Becca getting the fruit for Dolfamingo's only to have no further use of it after his defeat doesn't give her a strong enough chance imo. Don't get me wrong her resolve it strong and I love her character. But assuming she has no interest in joining I can only see her future in this arc. After all is said and done I can see her living her days out with her Father(TS). Pretty much all she wants. That be said I don't much happening with her outside this arc.
Being a part of the final crew does give the type seniority to rule out other character's relevances doesn't it? But, I can't be so sure for Sabo. Sure he may less relevant but I don't by far. What else have we seen from the Revolutionaries? Their impact in the latter half of the series could be immensely enormous. Imo the story would be centered around Sabo. That's pretty much the only way I see him staying in the story. Regardless of whether he wins/eats the Mera Mera or not. But, who knows the Revo's may very well be as scarce as they've been in the past. Just a thought.