@Taggerung:
Isn't Obama behind in almost every poll. I don't know the precedents on these things but everyone here is still sounding like Obama will wipe the floor with him. I mean. Romney could win…
Obama is ahead by a pretty healthy margin almost everywhere, but its a better story if the race is really close, or if the underdog is ahead. Neither the people funding money into the party or the news stations benefit from three months of "And Obama is still ahead by 20-30%". So some news is reporting or biases their polls with heavy republican samples. Anywhere with actual reporting Obama's pretty far in the lead.
@igetownd:
I don't know if anyone cares, but how about the other candidates for the other parties?
Third party is a nice idea but there's just no backing for it, in terms of money or voter count. It'll never happen, not without a HUGELY popular candidate dark horsing, and even then they historically can't get more than say, 7% of the vote and mostly just ruining the chances for the party they were closer to by stealing votes.
The ONLY way way voting for a third party will accomplish anything is if a very large number of third party supporters all decide its REALLY important to them to the point they move to a single state which gives them a large voting block (similar to Mormans in Utah) and at that point they could get a single small state to go in a third party direction, but no one has unified enough people to be cool with that idea to go through with the expense. But.. politics don't carry people as strongly as religion, so…
In the next decade or two the republican party as it is, is going to split or change radically, especially if they lose a couple elections in a row, but...