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The Official 2012 Arlong Park Character Tournament Statistics Thread.
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oh I disagree… between you and zachri, I get a good laugh, it really livens up a boring morning... loved that cat reading!
Glad I entertain you
So! Since this is the Statistics Thread, I'll try to do something useful.
EDIT: Not sure if this actually interests anyone, and also if it's actually useful in any way!Preliminary Participants that got to the First Round ranked from places 1-4, vote-dependent.
! Match 1 1. Kuma
2. Buggy
3. Dr. Kureha
4. Arlong
! Match 2 1. Crocodile
2. Magellan
3. Hannyabal
4. Shakky
! Match 3 1. Law
2. Hattori
3. Otohime
4. Inazuma
! Match 4 1. Bon Kurei
2. X Drake
3. Norland
4. Tashigi(/Zeff)
! Match 5 1. Rayleigh
2. Kidd
3. Sabo
4. Blackbeard
! Match 6
1. Smoker
2. Enel
3. Monet
4. Calgara
! Match 7 1. Nami
2. Ivankov
3. Kaku
4. Makino
! Match 8 1. Chopper
2. Dragon
3. Hancock
4. Kinemon
! Match 9 1. Sanji
2. Fisher Tiger
3. Kizaru
4. Ace
! Match 10 1. Brook
2. Shanks
3. Roger
4. Laboon
! Match 11 1. Zoro
2. Moriah
3. Crocus
4. Fauxhats
! Match 12 1. Mihawk
2. Mr. 3 (Galdino)
3. Tom
4. Belle Mère
! Match 13 1. Aokiji
2. Garp
3. Bepo
4. Benn Beckmann
! Match 14
1. Jinbe
2. Dr. Hiruluk
3. Doflamingo
4. Margaret
The higher they ranked in the preliminaries, the better they should fare in the actual tournament, right? Let's see, starting with winners of Round 1:! Prelim #1's that won (opponents in parenthesis) - 12/14
Brook (vs. #2 Buggy)
Zoro (vs. #3 Norland)
Aokiji (vs. #1 Mihawk)
Kuma (vs. #3 Kizaru)
Chopper (vs. #3 Sabo)
Sanji (vs. #4 Margaret)
Rayleigh (vs. #1 Jinbe)
Crocodile (vs. #3 Bepo)
Bon Kurei (vs. #4 Fauxhats)
Smoker (vs. #4 Benn Beckmann)
Nami (vs. #2 Hattori)
Law (vs. #2 Kidd)
! Prelim #2's that won (opponent) - 6/14
Enel (vs. #4 Laboon)
Ivankov (vs. #3 Tom)
Magellan (vs. #3 Blackbeard)
Shanks (vs. #2 Fisher Tiger)
Moriah (vs. AutoPass Doma&Monkey)
Dr. Hiruluk (vs. #4 Calgara)
! Prelim #3's that won (opponent) - 3/14
Doflamingo (vs. #3 Kaku)
Monet (vs. #3 Hannyabal)
Roger (vs. #4 Arlong)
! Prelim #4's that won (opponent) - 4/14 (5/14 when counting Shakky.)
Kinemon (vs. #3 Crocus)
Tashigi (vs. #3 Kureha)
Belle Mère (vs. #4 Inazuma)
Ace (vs. #2 Galdino)
! Autopasses that won (opponent) - 6/7 (7/8 including Satori but I ignored him)
Fred (AOFsntJ) (vs. #2 X Drake)
Robin (vs. #3 Otohime)
Luffy (vs. #2 Garp)
Franky (vs. #4 Makino)
Whitebeard (vs. #2 Dragon)
Usopp (vs. #3 Hancock)
! Notes:
~all previous champions won, however at the same time none of them was matched against a character ranking first in the preliminaries.
~the only characters beating higher ranking preliminary contestants were Kinemon, Ace and Tashigi.
~only #1's losing were matched against #1's.
Now showing which characters passed Round 2, again relating to preliminary rankings:! Prelim #1's that won (opponent) - 6/8/12 (originally 14), counting the tie as both advancing.
Law (vs. Autopass Luffy)
Crocodile (vs. #1 Brook)
Zoro (vs. #1 Sanji)
Smoker (vs. #4 Kinemon)
Aokiji (vs. #2 Moriah)
Bon Kurei (vs. Autopass Fred)
*tie between #1 Nami and #1 Rayleigh
! Prelim #2's that won (opponent) - 4/6 (originally 14), counting the tie as both advancing.
Dr. Hiruluk (vs. #3 Roger)
Enel (vs. #1 Chopper)
*tie between #2 Shanks and #2 Magellan
! Prelim #3's that won (opponent) - 2/3 (originally 14)
Doflamingo (vs. Autopass Franky)
Monet (vs. #4 Belle Mère)
! Prelim #4's that won (opponent) - 0/4 (originally 14) (counting Tashigi, 1/4)! Autopasses that won (opponent) (ignoring Satori again) - 3/6 (originally 7)
Robin (vs. #1 Kuma)
Usopp (vs. #2 Ivankov)
Whitebeard (vs. #4 Ace)
! Notes:
~only character beating a higher ranking preliminary contestant was Enel.
~notable: previous champion Franky being knocked out by Doflamingo who ranked third in preliminaries.
~another previous champion, Luffy, knocked out, but by Law, who ranked first.
~by now, all fourth placed characters from the prelims have disappeared - all but Tashigi.
~ties only happened between characters ranking same place in prelims. -
Interesting stats!
So, taking that a step further, we can say that Ace, Tashigi and Kinemon were the only ones to actually beat someone with a higher place in the prelims. While Bellemere, Monet, Doflamingo, Shanks, Rayleigh and Aokiji beat someone with the same place in the prelims.
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Interesting stats!
So, taking that a step further, we can say that Ace, Tashigi and Kinemon were the only ones to actually beat someone with a higher place in the prelims. While Bellemere, Monet, Doflamingo, Shanks, Rayleigh and Aokiji beat someone with the same place in the prelims.
I'll add that in if you don't mind :) just done with Round 2, going to check the "facts" about those numbers next.
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Fun fact for you folks keeping track at home:
Shakky did have a round 2 bounty of 617,000, giving her the highest bounty of the round, but due to shenanigans, she did not have a R2 match. Just leaving this here.
got it a while ago :D
For Satori's bounty you used his and shakki's votes as if they were negative numbers, right?, that confused me a little.Btw, thanks god you didn't give bounties for the tag teams, those could be really really hard.
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Btw, thanks god you didn't give bounties for the tag teams, those could be really really hard.
- smirks *
Guess again.
- smirks *
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got it a while ago :D
For Satori's bounty you used his and shakki's votes as if they were negative numbers, right?, that confused me a little.Haha, yep. Thought we'd be sneaky.~
Btw, thanks god you didn't give bounties for the tag teams, those could be really really hard.
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So, what a- oh. I'm sorry, I seem to be in the wrong thread. I thought this was the statistics thread. Nevermind.
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Total of 419 members have so far posted in this year's tournament
Top 100 posters
updated till this post
2nd Sep stats
| 93
| kappa-san
| 34 |I didn't know that I've posted a lot! I should campaign more :ninja:
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78% of the posts in here are wastes of times and there's a 100% chance you should stop what you're doing right now.
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78% of the posts in here are wastes of times and there's a 100% chance you should stop what you're doing right now.
69% of people will pay attention to this post and do as it says.
The rest will gigglesnort at the percentage of people that will pay attention to this post and do as it says. -
Do tell. :ninja:
That was one of the three times out a hundred that Kitsune was telling the truth.
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Oh wow that's some powerful cleaning tool you got there. Bleach?
But thanks for leaving my little failed attempt at trying for something of use. -
Turn all useless posts to ash, Ryujin Jakka!
This thread has been subjected to a cleansing fire and nothing of value was lost.
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I feel like exactly 78% of the posts DID get purged, but please don't correct me.
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I got Hattori's bounty, just Hattori's.
For each one of the rest I've got a number which ranges from 2 to 14 depending on the character. Except for Shakki, no idea about her bounty so far. -
I got Hattori's bounty, just Hattori's.
Well, I'd say that's all that counts anyway, sooo … well done!
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@Nia:
Well, I'd say that's all that counts anyway, sooo … well done!
But that one was too easy :ninja:
I won't be able to sleep easy until I resolve the rest -
Haha, yes, I love you, akagami!
Now the fun part is figuring out where those variables come from. :D If you start now, you should have them figured out by 2015.
Yes, I started them way back in 2009. V_V
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it must be nice to not be the one pulling out your hair over a ridiculous puzzle, eh Kitsune? Is it easier than last year's?
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Eh, yes and no. It's just a matter of knowing what variable to look for now. Akagami's already solved the formula, it's now just a matter of finding where those numbers come from.~
As for it being nice, I do kinda miss trying to solve them, but gotta pass the torch on sometime.~
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I'm waiting for someone to change the formula even the tiniest bit just to see how y'all react. hurr
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How about, let's actually only post stuff when it's related to statistics, otherwise everything has to be cleared AGAIN…
There's a 72.5% chance of that happening.
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27.5% too low on that estimate.
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updated stats. Almost no change in top 20. but gap has gotten closer
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Warp Predator, you're next. If only because you can't use your account.
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Is magellan's bounty right?