What this thread is for?
I want to refine the concept and make it clearer before starting, so feel free to ameliorate the concept, I'll update the main post quite regularly.
If you want to help, it will probably be useful, write it in this thread.
I hope the concept to be ready for monday, so if you are interested check for it monday, you should be able to bet on another thread or something…
Rules
1. Each arlong parker begins with a 100,000 Bellis to bet, you won't get any more so don't bet it all the same week.
2. There is one betting round for each chapter.
3. Each round is a totaly separate poll of money, so you may not want to bet every thing on the first chapter for it won't be decided until the rounds in the story ends which may take may weeks.
4. The money pool for each round is divided amongst the people who guess right proportionnaly the amount that you bet.
5. You can bet on any outcome for the round and if you are amongst the people who are right you win.
6. If nobody guessed right, everyone gets their money back (but then again, if even one person bet 1 B$ on Other he gains the bet of the week.
7. Bets must be placed before monday 23h GMT.
8. I'll do the banking so it'll be impossible to cheat.
**Exemple of gameplay
(Before chapter 707)**
Participants are the following for round 1 of gambling : Kuzan 100000 B$, Buggy 100000 B$, Kaya 100000 B$, Robin 100000 B$, Kraken 100000 B$, Hachi 100000 B$, Kid 100000 B$, Crocrodile 100000 B$, Miss Wednesday 100000 B$ and Gin 100000 B$
All participants bet on block B:
Kuzan bets 10000 B$ on Bellamy
Buggy bets 1000 B$ on Daruma and 1000 B$ on Elisabeth the fighting king
Kaya bets 10000 B$ on Bellamy
Robin bets 20000 B$ on Hack and 10000 B$ on Other
Kraken bets 100000 B$ on Tank
Hachi bets 10000 B$ on Bellamy
Kid bets 50000 B$ on Bartholemo
Crocodile bets 100000 B$ on Sir Crocodile
Miss Wednesday bets 30000 B$ on Daruma
Gin bets 10000 B$ on Bartholemo
Total pot for round 1 : 352 000 B$
Remaining money : Kuzan 90000 B$, Buggy 98000 B$, Kaya 90000 B$, Robin 70000 B$, Kraken 0 B$, Hachi 90000 B$, Kid 50000 B$, Crocrodile 0 B$, Miss Wednesday 70000 B$ and Gin 90000 B$
(No winner for block B in chapter 707)
(Before chapter 708)
Participants are the following for round 2 of gambling : Kuzan 90000 B$, Buggy 98000 B$, Kaya 90000 B$, Robin 70000 B$, Kraken 0 B$, Hachi 90000 B$, Kid 50000 B$, Crocrodile 0 B$, Miss Wednesday 70000 B$ and Gin 90000 B$
Some participants bet on block B:
Kuzan bets 10000 B$ on Bellamy
Buggy bets 15000 B$ on Bartholemo
Kaya bets 10000 B$ on Elisabelio
Robin bets 10000 B$ on Other
Hachi bets 10000 B$ on Bellamy
Kid bets 50000 B$ on Bartholemo
Gin bets 10000 B$ on Bartholemo
Total pot for round 2 : 115 000 B$
Remaining money : Kuzan 80000 B$, Buggy 83000 B$, Kaya 75000 B$, Robin 60000 B$, Kraken 0 B$, Hachi 80000 B$, Kid 0 B$, Crocrodile 0 B$, Miss Wednesday 70000 B$ and Gin 80000 B$
(Duruma wins block B in chapter 708)
Winners for Round 1: Buggy (Bet = 1000$) and Miss Wednesday (Bet = 30000 B$)
352000 / (1000 + 30000) = About 11,35 of return per B$ bet on Daruma
Buggy = 11355 B$
Miss Wednesday = 340 645 B$
Winner for Round 2: No one guessed right but Robin said other so she wins all = 115000
Remaining money : Kuzan 80000 B$, Buggy 94355 B$, Kaya 75000 B$, Robin 175000 B$, Kraken 0 B$, Hachi 80000 B$, Kid 0 B$, Crocrodile 0 B$, Miss Wednesday 410645 B$ and Gin 80000 B$
(Before chapter 710)
Round 3 of bet Kuzan 80000 B$, Buggy 94355 B$, Kaya 75000 B$, Robin 175000 B$, Kraken 0 B$, Hachi 80000 B$, Kid 0 B$, Crocrodile 0 B$, Miss Wednesday 410645 B$ and Gin 80000 B$
Some participant bet on block C
Kuzan bets 50000 B$ on Cavendish
…..