Sorry to have joined the discussion rather late, but I have something to say.
First, I have been noticing a bit of a pattern for the characters that join the crew. Each of them are given detailed backstories that seem to be trying to be sadder than the last. Just look at the list below.
1. Luffy (got kidnapped and almost killed and his idol lost an arm to save him)
2. Zoro (best friend died)
3. Usopp (mother died of illness)
4. Sanji (got separated from everyone he knew (for all he knew, they could be dead), almost starved to death on an island devoid of any life except for him and one pirate)
5. Nami (parents died, adoptive mother murdered, spent years working for the people who murdered her adoptive mother)
6. Chopper (everyone hated him for being different (including his parents it would seem), poisoned only friend while thinking the poison was medicine (but the murder being prevented by a suicide probably softened the blow from that))
7. Franky (ships he made were used to frame his father figure, got most of his body destroyed while trying to save father figure from being executed)
8. Robin (early life resembling that of Cinderella or Harry Potter, most hated her for having a DF power, only friends formed a group that they wouldn't let her be a part of (although it was for her safety), has to be seperated from her mother as soon as she is reunited with her, has to run away from her home, has to spend the rest of her life on the run from the World Government and relying on the more evil pirates for protection, and did I mention the island that was her home was destroyed along with everyone else who lived on it?)
9. Brook (has just about everything that has any meaning to him taken away, saw everyone in his crew die one by one until it was just him left, died himself, spent about 50 years alone at sea alone, eventually loses his shadow and the ability to survive in sunlight, sees his techniques being used by someone who possessed none of the morals that are supposed to be taught alongside the technique, almost loses the last physical trait that would allow the person he made a promise to to recognize him, and he has to ask someone else to do the work of recovering his shadow)
Keep in mind that the above list is in order of when the backstories are told, not when the person joins.
If I see a backstory that is more than a few images with a description of the backstory being given by one character to another and I start to think that it rivals those of Robin and Brook, then I'll be convinced that the character will join the crew.
As for right now though, Boa's backstory just isn't detailed or sad enough, but it does seem possible for it to be expanded into one that would be. However, I do see her as a good candidate for being a temporary nakama (like Vivi was), and I think she may end up fulfilling the same role in Luffy getting a bounty increase that Nami, Vivi, and Robin have.
As for Jimbei, we don't quite know much about his backstory, just that he had a pirate crew, became a Shichibukai, and recently lost his Shichibukai status and was taken to Impel Down. However, the end of chapter 529 suggests that we will get to see his backstory.
Perona, Mr. 3, and Mr. 2… we know absolutely nothing about their past with the exception of some mere speculation on Mr. 2's birthplace.