@Monkey:
texas doesn't have same day registration? of course it doesn't
I'm not sure that's as common as you think it is. Maryland sure doesn't have it.
@Monkey:
texas doesn't have same day registration? of course it doesn't
I'm not sure that's as common as you think it is. Maryland sure doesn't have it.
following the repubs here
https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state
This is going to be a bigger Iowa night than usual I feel. Like we see how much Trump's polling actually materializes into votes. Kind of same for Bernie.
So far Cruz and Hillary are savaging.
This is better, everything's there.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/iowa?pagewanted=all
So far, Cruz and Trump are about even, with Rubio in a not too-far third.
Over for the dems… Hillary and Bernie are about even while Malley has gotten a pity vote. This is of course to avoid the unwritten rule that if any candidate gets zero votes, they win automatically.
Rubio might actually have half a shot if everyone else drops out and he starts being the choice between him and the insane guys.
The Dems in Iowa have delegate votes so it's not literally one for O'Malley, don't be cruel Robby.
…it is however literally two votes for republican Jim Gilmore lolllll
Bernie is is slowly gaining and Cruz slowly pulling away.
So far, Cruz and Trump are about even, with Rubio in a not too-far third.
Over for the dems… Hillary and Bernie are about even while Malley has gotten a pity vote. This is of course to avoid the unwritten rule that if any candidate gets zero votes, they win automatically.
Rubio might actually have half a shot if everyone else drops out and he starts being the choice between him and the insane guys.
Trump and Cruz are expected to win a majority of the states early on since the Bible Belt goes early. Rubio just needs a respectable showing to stay relevant and a couple of his competitors to drop out.
Do these caucuses and other primaries operate under winner takes all as well?
@Rogues':
If you're Donald Trump you grandstand it's what you do.
Do these caucuses and other primaries operate under winner takes all as well?
Some states do and others don't, but I'm not sure how it works in Iowa. Some states divide delegates and others are binding and adhere to a winner-take-all format.
I hate Cruz so much
37% for Republicans with Cruz still in lead…
Rubio not doing so bad either, gaining on the front two little by little..
Cruz actually has a decent lead on Trump so far on Des Moines (most populated city by far), I'm surprised?
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I hate Cruz so much
yeah he's a garbage dough man, but I want him to beat Trump and win the nomination so that Hillernie can sweep to victory in a 1984' style landslide. Also neutralizing and shutting down the racist populatist tornado monster with a toupee in the process.
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nearly 50%, Cruz still in lead
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There's like 31% votes going to useless fart candidates below Rubio, really kills me to wonder where all those would go if those idiots just got out of the race.
Jim Gilmore has 10 votes now. Out of 109,788.
Do these caucuses and other primaries operate under winner takes all as well?
Iowa and New Hampshire both divide delegates based on percentages, but with a few caveats that make the math more complicated.
I have to know the spectre of Trumps gets a kick in the balls tonight. I've seen the id of America, it's very loud, it's very big, it's very racist, but maybe…just maybe...it's mostly hot air.
Please corn gods of iowa...
Jim Gilmore has 10 votes now. Out of 109,788.
Family and friends, maybe?
If there were one or two less people running in the republican side, its entirely possible Rubio would be tied or even beating Trump right now. Nice to know.
Meanwhile, Clinton and Sanders are only two O'Malleys apart.
If Trump wins this, then tonight is one of the most important nights in American history, because it will be the exact point where we can start following the collective suicide of the Republican party as we know it.
Woah, Marco Rubio gaining some serious ground on Trump. Didn't see that coming.
Trump's not going to win. He's as close to Rubio as he is to Cruz. And hey, Rand Paul with a respectable showing despite his exclusion from the recent big kids debates.
Meanwhile, Hillary is less than 1.5 percentage points up on Bernie and O'Malley is finally dropping out.
And here we have the high-water mark of the Rubio campaign.
Bernie is 0.9% behind Hillary. Well within striking range…
And Iowa called for Cruz, with Trump barely above Rubio in second.
Tonight the Id flinched.
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Tonight Iowa gazed into the abyss, and then they ran to the melting wax man next to the abyss.
I actually live in Iowa and there's a storm that's got a good possibilty of hitting as soon as the caucases are over. It's discouraged a lot of people although it probably won't hit itll midnight. So I don't know how this affects the numbers but I feel like only the most loyal to their pick are the ones who actually said screw it and went out. Honestly I feel like a lot of people are using the weather as an excuse not to come out lol.
2000: Bush
2008: Huckabee
2012: Santorum
2016: Cruz
At least Iowa is consistent in its garbage voting.
And I looked, and behold, a pale horse. And the rider which sat on him was Death. And Trump followed him in the polls.
I wonder who the one uncommitted guy is.
How long you think before Ben Carson bites the dust?
Should be a while. Carson got a strong fourth place tonight and it would make more sense to wait and see where the supporters of the fallen go.
@Steven:
http://theweek.com/speedreads/602890/hillary-clinton-wins-iowa-precinct-by-coin-toss
That moment when every vote literally does matter.
Also, Hillary up by only 0.5% now with 89% reporting.
I just can't believe people are so pissed at Obama that they are seriously considering voting Trump in for president. I mean I know we could use some immigration reform and economic expertise but I mean really? He got his jimmies rustled by that lady from Fox News and got fired from his own show! Has he even succeeded in the face of true adversity?
Heads up, we're gonna do all this again on the 9th for New Hampshire's shitshow.
Hillary only up 0.4% now.
Well my first caucus turned out to be quite an experience.
Long story short, the O'Malley captain staunchly refused to go to another candidate, despite not having enough supporters to pass 15%. Went as far as calling the state office to try and null the precinct.
[hide]There weren't enough O'Malley supporters to pass the 15% threshold, so we were given time to talk with them. After time was up, the O'Malley people went to other candidates except the captain, who was very vocal in trying to motion for an extended discussion time.
So then the precinct leader put it to a "yay" or "nay" vocal vote, to which an large amount of people voted "nay". Upon that, the O'Malley captain demanded a paper ballot so there would be an official count, instead of measuring it by the vocal vote (even though it was obvious the majority of people there didn't want to go through with a paper ballot). By this point people were audibly groaning. I think what she was trying to do applied to rural caucus locations, and ours definitely wasn't rural…
So then the people in charge took count and adjourned the meeting, but the O'Malley captain started ranting about how we weren't following the rules in terms of respecting her motion to get a paper ballot, and started calling the state office, threatening to null the votes at the precinct for "violating the rules" (I highly doubt we were?). At this point everyone was leaving, and I stayed with a group of 10 or so people because the O'Malley person was convinced she was going to make a re-vote happen and she would've been the only one left at the point. Pretty that was never going to happen, but we didn't feel like taking the chance.
She was passionate, but I just didn't think she was going about it the right way. [/hide]
And then shortly after I come home, I see O'Malley dropped out, so that made the fuss a waste of time on their part. Oh well, it was entertaining, at least!
Hillary only up 0.4% now.
I hope Hillary loses big time. I just cant take her seriously. I don't know why. I don't even really care about the Benghazi fiasco either.
They're less than one Martin apart now.
this is Um'huuit Ich' Robinson, the deity spirit of Iowa, tonight we sacrifice what we must so that wicked things may pass in the night and the children may sleep
I hope Hillary loses big time. I just cant take her seriously. I don't know why. I don't even really care about the Benghazi fiasco either.
Me too. That woman is a total shill.
@Monkey:
http://blog.umamimart.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/alecdempster.jpg
this is Um'huuit Ich' Robinson, the deity spirit of Iowa, tonight we sacrifice what we must so that wicked things may pass in the night and the children may sleep
Jesus Christ LMAO! I think a bottle of whiskey would be more accurate than corn LOL.
I don't even really care about the Benghazi fiasco either.
That's pretty good because there is no Benghazi fiasco.
1/3rd of an O'Malley apart.
Jesus Christ LMAO! I think a bottle of whiskey would be more accurate than corn LOL.
its ok you can utilize a largely untrue stereotype about my state too and have our diety be a tennis ball swaddled in a yacht club sweater
The Corn Gods are sending us a message of some kind…maybe Clinton/Sanders joint ticket???
draws chalk circle around self in darkened room with the absolute whitest chalk
invokes the northern winds that speak of blowing wherever they want but never do
unbuckles all seatbelts in a 5 km radius
New Hampshire, I speak and call your name.
Geez, if O'Malley wasn't in this we might have had a legit 50/50 tie. Crazy. Well, its a good showing for Sanders, hopefully he can do the Obama thing and steamroll some momentum from here on out. Really hard to believe he managed to do that when he was so, so far away just a couple months ago.
@Cyan:
The Corn Gods are sending us a message of some kind…maybe Clinton/Sanders joint ticket???
If Hillary was VP, Sanders would be assassinated inside of a month of taking office. Quietly perhaps, but I don't think she'd let it go that easily.
And generally VP pick is done to balance out the ticket and, in the case of older candidates, provide a legit backup in case of death. You wouldn't want two 70 year olds in that position, even if its not an actual barrier to them winning the vote.