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Thread: One Piece Mafia: Part II

  1. #10321

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    I agree that not talking at night still seems like the way to go (nothing in my QT last night).

    If there are 3 mafia then we cannot afford a mislynch today. But a no lynch just means that the mafia can choose who to gamble on at night and win that way. -> We have to lynch

    If there are 2 mafia and we mislynch today there will be two M/T townie pairs left and one T/T at night. That's still a 50% chance of losing. Or we survive with one mafia and three townies and lynch then.

    If there are 2 mafia and we hit one of them there will be one M/T pair left and two T/T. At night they will probably off a T/T pair and it'll be the same as above.

    If there are 2 mafia and we no lynch, then there'll be two M/T and two T/T pairs at night. 66% of losing two townies. We'd be left with two mafia and 4 townies. 66% chance of lynching a mafia/mafia lover then if I'm not mistaken. Which leads to one mafia and 3 townies at night and the remaining mafia would have pretty good odds again. -> bad

    If there is 1 mafia player...stuff would happen, I don't think it's likely.

    In conclusion I think we lynch. If we mislynch we mustn't talk to our lovers or we'll lose.

    Makes (some) sense?
    Just something fun I made during the latest Survivor playing as Monji:
    Spoiler:


  2. #10322
    Schrödinger's Giraffe Wooden_Giraffe's Avatar
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    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Silence in my QT, just like everyone else.

    First off I'll make it known that I have every intention of talking tonight if we successfully lynch. Haven't made up my mind yet if a mislynch happens. Somewhat concerned that this will cause a loss of decent powers though. We already lost the doctor and if we have a cop pair I think they should use their ability either way.

  3. #10323
    *Angry Catra noises* Shuhan's Avatar
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    My lover decided to try and talk to me, but covered his/her name with "Anon". I said hi back and then he/she asked what we should do. I never answered.

    As far as how many mafia I think there are...I would hazard a guess of 2-3 maf, but this talk will get us going in circles.

  4. #10324

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Quote Originally Posted by Shuhan View Post
    My lover decided to try and talk to me, but covered his/her name with "Anon". I said hi back and then he/she asked what we should do. I never answered.
    So somebody is lying...

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  5. #10325
    Schrödinger's Giraffe Wooden_Giraffe's Avatar
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    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    scummy lying or scared-of-scummy lying?

  6. #10326

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    So, uh, now what? We don't really have any leads. :/

  7. #10327

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Wait, everyone said they talked? And SHuhan's partner lied?

    Vote Lynch: Shuhan

    --- Update From New Post Merge ---

    Here's a proposed plan:

    Lynch team Shuhan

    Nobody talk tonight but TEAM COP. TEAM COP, COMMUNICATE AND INVESTIGATE WOODEN

    Tomorrow, we massclaim our Room Names publicly, which should create two clears if I am right.

  8. #10328

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Either his lover lied or he himself did (for whatever reason) so yeah:

    Vote Lynch: Shuhan

    KI, can you specify why the cops should go after Wooden?

    --- Update From New Post Merge ---

    Before anybody hammers, Shuhan should probably claim his power, right? Would it change anything if he were a cop?
    Just something fun I made during the latest Survivor playing as Monji:
    Spoiler:


  9. #10329

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Something about Wooden is hyper aggressive and makes me nervous. I'd like to know what side he's on before mulling over whether or not to lynch him at lylo.

  10. #10330
    Heart'n'Skull Nami's Avatar
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    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    This plan looks good enough to me. Kitsu, you're awesome for coming up with it.

    But.
    What if we have bad luck. What if Team Cops dies tonight?...

    We need two more Lynch votes. I keep my vote for now. (Don't want to be the reason, days ends early if people might still want to say something but get hammered)

    "Unicorns can't see into your heart. All our dumb horns can do is glow, point towards the nearest rainbow and play rave music!"

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  11. #10331
    *Angry Catra noises* Shuhan's Avatar
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    As uncomfortable as I feel about this and feeling I fell into a trap of some kind...I want my lover to come forward. If you are town, then please stop lying and be upfront.

    However, looking at this now...if this is what I think is going on, you are mad geneious mafia Kits...

    I will claim team watcher though.

  12. #10332

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Quote Originally Posted by Shuhan View Post
    As uncomfortable as I feel about this and feeling I fell into a trap of some kind...I want my lover to come forward. If you are town, then please stop lying and be upfront.

    However, looking at this now...if this is what I think is going on, you are mad geneious mafia Kits...

    I will claim team watcher though.
    Do you mind spelling it out for me?
    Just something fun I made during the latest Survivor playing as Monji:
    Spoiler:


  13. #10333
    *Angry Catra noises* Shuhan's Avatar
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    It's a theory, but as anyone can tell, night powers are tied to both lovers agreeing to the power use. What's the best way to make sure no errant powers interfere with a kill? Silence the QTs that aren't mafia influenced. How does the mafia do that? Feign a plan to make it seem okay to not talk at least the first night, so that they can get a free kill in.

    That's all well and good, but here's the kicker, what if someone tries to talk in the QTs anyway? Well that's simple, count on the sheep town to alert the rest. All the mafia has got to do is suggest a lynch against the one that talks. They start off blending in saying their QTs are silent and wait for the unsuspecting dupe.

    I've had this idea ever since Kits first mentioned the staying silent, which effectively shuts town powers down.

    I want my lover to come clean, if you're town then we are good, but I won't hesitate to drop the hammer if you stay quiet.

  14. #10334

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    As awesome as that theory is, it's not really the case at all. In fact, we'd be playing right into the Mafia's hands if we let them know who is in which room. THAT'S the one advantage we have, and that's what I intend to keep going into this night.

    The biggest critical flaw with your conclusion is that the Mafia should have no idea who is in their room with them, making ANY so-called "free kill" a blind kill. Last night's kill was free because the Mafia got lucky. Tonight, luck won't be on their side, so long as no one does what you just did.

    Town, do NOT follow Shuhan's lead on this. DO NOT CLAIM YOUR ROOM/ROLE AND DO NOT POST IN YOUR QUICKTOPIC. If you do, the Mafia will have a MUCH easier time securing a free hit on us.

    --- Update From New Post Merge ---

    As for shutting down town powers, as far as I can see, they're greatly limited as they are. One-shot, two or three of which are in Mafia hands to begin with, making them effectively useless, one of which is already flushed. I'm not shutting down Mafia powers, I'm shutting down ANY powers: they have a 50-75% chance of drawing blanks anyway. I'll admit that investigating Wooden at this point might be too risky, because there's no way of knowing what side the other Cop's on, nor if the Cop exists to begin with. But if we use them publicly the risk of Mafia interference disappears somewhat, thought not entirely. You are correct after all: What if I am mafia after all asking Cop to waste their power on a confirmed inno?

    Regardless, don't make me elaborate on my plan just yet. But know this: If tomorrow, we forced everyone to mass claim their ROOM NAME, I've got a surefire way of catching every single mafia in a single move if they don't fakeclaim.

    --- Update From New Post Merge ---

    Mafia powers should be "Town powers" there.

  15. #10335

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    We could wait for Shuhan's lover to claim but I don't think it matters. I do want to lynch somebody and Shuhan/X is the only target going on right now. And even if we believe them both to be town the mafia will have a free kill at night.

    I think we onl have ~12 hours left this day so everybody give some input please but in the end vote.
    Just something fun I made during the latest Survivor playing as Monji:
    Spoiler:


  16. #10336

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Where's everyone getting this "free kill" business from? They only have a 40% chance or so of hitting the other Town Team. (Assuming 3)

  17. #10337

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Vote Count:
    With 8 alive, it takes 5 to achieve a lynch.
    Shuhan (2): Kitsune Inferno, Huschel
    Not Voting: Galaxy 9000, Nami, Shuhan, Tyrone Pines, Wooden Giraffe, xasjjx
    Handsome man save me from the monsters.

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  18. #10338

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Quote Originally Posted by Kitsune Inferno View Post
    Where's everyone getting this "free kill" business from? They only have a 40% chance or so of hitting the other Town Team. (Assuming 3)
    I meant if Shuhan's lover outed themselves (and we don't lynch them). If they are both town the mafia could just kill them.
    Just something fun I made during the latest Survivor playing as Monji:
    Spoiler:


  19. #10339
    Heart'n'Skull Nami's Avatar
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    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    Trappy, how much time left?


    Vote lynch: Shuhan

    "Unicorns can't see into your heart. All our dumb horns can do is glow, point towards the nearest rainbow and play rave music!"

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  20. #10340

    Default Re: One Piece Mafia: Part II

    "Sigh"

    I claim Shuhan's lover.

    Team watcher is confirmed.

    The point of my post was to try to trick some of the mafia, but it didn't go the way I thought it would.

    One Pace - The One Piece anime without the filler and padding.
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